Shake it like a salt shaka – Week 15

Going 5-1 last week was awesome if not just plain skeet. Hoping for a dog-filled weekend of fun. My picks below:

Jaguars	Dolphins	7.5
Colts	Texans	9.5
Steelers	Cowboys	-1.5
Buccaneers	Saints	3.5
Panthers	Chargers	+135

Jaguars +7.5 Dolphins: It hurt me to take this pick but the Dolphins are bad at home and the Jaguars are better when they play on the road, I like where the hook is, calling it Dolphins 23 Jaguars 17

Colts +9.5 Texans: A lot of people are on the Colts this game, I also couldn’t turn down 9.5 points against the team I saw play against the Pats Monday night. These teams are in the same division, but haven’t played each other yet. There next game together is week 17, nice job with that scheduling. Division games aren’t typically a 10-point blowout (ignore last week Seahawks-Cardinals game).

Steelers -1.5 Cowboys: Two reasons, Big Ben is back, and Cowboys will be distracted from thinking about there teammates passing the previous Saturday.

Buccaneers +3.5 Saints: The Bucs have lost 3 straight so I see Schiano pulling out a few knives to get the victory. (Side note: anybody else confused that Schiano wants kickoffs abolished because one of his Rutgers players was paralyzed during a return but he continues to rush the QB when down by 8 with the other team in victory formation?)

Panthers +135 Chargers: I don’t believe the Chargers actually won last week against the Steelers (note if Brown had kicked the ball out of the endzone for a safety, instead of a fumble recovered TD, the game could’ve been different). I think the Panthers are streaking and Cam Newton may have more sponsors than wins but his commercials are hilarious.

Good luck and may you cover!

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Wishing for two front teeth and a better year

I think I’ve just finished the worst year of my life so far. If life gets worse than this year, I will reconsider humanities’ existence. To make lemonade out of this situation would be to move on quicker than before and fix whatever it is that didn’t create enough happiness during the last year.

Rams +7.5 49ers: I do not trust Kaepernick even after playing well over the last two games. This again is a divisional game and I see the Rams keeping it within a field goal at home.

Buccaneers +7 Broncos: The Bucs are 8-2-1 ATS and I keep picking them. The Broncos are good, and Peyton Manning made them much better than I thought but this should be a close low scoring game.

Jaguars +6 Bills: I usually worry when I take a pick and most everyone else follows suit. I’ve been waiting for this spread to come out at +3 and I was ready to pounce, but +6, huh? Only way the Buffalo Jills cover this line is in OT and they get the ball first.

Good luck and may you cover!

Planning for Vegas

So after a few hour seminar I was awarded a choice of airfare and two night stay at either Las Vegas or Orlando, not that I know of anything in Orlando but it looks like I’ll be taking a trip to Vegas sometime this year. I’ll remember to pack a toothbrush and bring my awful picks with me. Here’s the lot of them, I’m thinking this is my weekend to hit, I already had a few bad weeks and I’m carrying mojo from the last couple weeks.

Browns	Cowboys	7.5
Jaguars	Texans	15.5
Buccaneers	Panthers	-1.5

Browns +7.5 v Cowboys: Browns are a decent team as they showed last week v the G-men. The Cowboys are extremely inconsistent and aren’t playing well at home. I see the Browns challenge for the win in a low scoring game.

Jaguars +15.5 v Texans: If you considered taking Texans -15.5, or -16 earlier this week, I would like to meet you. I have not met anyone willing to lay more than 14 points in any NFL games. This is any NFL game and the Jags will prolly play better away from their empty home stadium.

Buccaneers -1.5 v Panthers: This is becoming bet heavy by the public as the Bucs are 7-2 ATS and the Cam Newton polish isn’t ‘new’ to bettors anymore. I like the Bucs to win this by a touchdown and one of the Carolina cheerleaders to slap Newton when he can’t complete a game-winning drive.

Good luck and may you cover!

Update: 3-0! Lovin’ it! With these teams individually and a small parlay tying them together I’m back on the plus side for the season. I will most likely take Chicago tomorrow night in a upset featuring back-up QB’s for teams that I think will make it to the Superbowl.

Buccaneers @ Vikings [POLL]

In the spirit of Presidential debates and polling, I’d like some opinions.

For those of you that don’t understand spreads, I’ll put it in lay man’s terms:

If I were to give the Buccaneers 6.5 points when they play at the Vikings who would win? (example below)

If the ending score of the game is Buccaneers 20 – Vikings 26 and you picked the Buccaneers +6.5, you would win. Congrats, if that’s how it ends up. More excitingly, you can do this here and you can win money. It truly sounds too good to be true but I’ve cashed out $100 from the site and am using it for this season (and if you’ve been following, eh, could be better).

If anyone is courageous enough to take my pick (I’ve done awful with these two teams this season), I’m leaning towards the Buccaneers. Thursday night games have been rather low scoring and lacking offense, a 6.5 point spread is a bit much against the decent defense that the Bucs have.

J-E-T-S! & other Week 4 p-i-c-k-s

If I wasn’t a Jets fan this pick would be much easier. I unfortunately suffer through their games like the rest of NY (Giants fans can relate, but they have two much more recent Superbowls) I heard the statistic last week and it makes logical sense. A west coast team has never won on the east coast in a 1 o’clock game. 1 pm EST = 10am PT. That’s not very friendly to the 49ers even though they are most likely a better team. I took Jets moneyline (+175*) and will parlay them (+4) with some other picks later this weekend.

I’m running a great 3-0 in games involving the Giants ATS so I’ll push my luck and see if the streak continues. Philly is 2-1 in close wins and a blowout loss to the unappreciated Cardinals. Andy Reid hates losing, as much as I hated the hook on last week Ravens game, and rarely falters after a loss. I’ll take the Eagles (-1.5) because they’re home.

Of my next three picks, I’ll decide how hard I take them later but I like ’em and I like ’em good:

Bills (+4.5) v Patriots – someone needs to punch Tom Brady in the face, I hope it’s Mario Williams, divisional games should not have this kind of spread in away games. Peeps need to stop betting the Patriots.

Cardinals (-6) v Dolphins – I would like this to come down a bit but the Cardinals have shown they’re legit this season and the Dolphins suffered in the Jets game last week when Reggie Bush (didn’t practice Wed.) went out.

Buccaneers (-2.5) v Redskins – Bucs are doing well ATS this year, meaning they’ve been underrated thus far, the Redskins have been hyped due to RG3 . Defense decides this game, I’ll think about the under (48).

Good luck!

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This does not look good. Jets and Bills got blown out. I got all of my other picks wrong so far. I’ll be saved if the Cardinals pull of a 13-0 halftime deficit, the Bucs can pull off a current 14-3 deficit, and the Eagles beat the Giants. SON OF A GUN! Bad week.

Giants v. Panthers (Thursday, week 3)

Why am I picking all the Giants games? This shouldn’t be happening, maybe I know too much about the team. I’ve followed them from afar since my dad is a fan. Spread opened as a pick and has moved to G-men +1. Since it’s a Thursday game I took  it already (Giants ML +110).

The Panthers might be a decent team this year. Odds at the beginning of the season were that they’d be better than last year (6-10). Highly possible (if Newton doesn’t get hit by a bus).

I’m using simple logic on this one…Panthers lost to the Buccaneers, Giants beat the Bucs. If A > B, & B > C, then A > C. Football might not work like this and it is in Carolina (Giants are good on the road and 4-3-1 ATS away last season). I’ll rely on Eli for this one.

Prediction: Giants 28-17

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Buccaneers vs. Giants (week 2)

Buc’s +9 (-130) is ridiculous, maybe I’m turning into a Giant hater, taking their opponents ATS back to back, but that superbowl win must’ve created a crazy push of the Giants line. If you saw the Buc’s game v the Panthers, they look they will get more than the 2 wins they were predicted for (Espn the mag) and could be a legitimate wildcard sleeper. Sure, everybody said this last year through week 3 then Tampa lost about 9 straight games, but they looked decent against Newton & Co.

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