Who let the underdogs out? Week 7

Running on a high from the Thursday night wins (Manningham didn’t play so that was cancelled) so I put in a few picks already but I like a ton of games this week.

Ravens	Texans	7
Jets	Patriots	10.5
Browns	Colts	ML
Cardinals	Vikings	6.5
Bears	Lions	-6.5
Over	Under	47.5

Ravens (+7) v Texans: Looks tough with a banged up Ravens D and no Ray Lewis but the Texans haven’t been blowing teams out recently and I like the Ray Rice to tear up the ground game for some reason. This game should be close for three quarters and then I expect someone to stumble and lose it early in the fourth. Turnovers will decide this game.

Jets (+10.5) Patriots: C’mon now? Seriously? This isn’t even nice, the Jets might be bad, and Belichek might want to run up the score on Rex Ryan, but the Patriots have close to no defense, if the Jets don’t score in the 1st quarter it might be over, but what is up with a double-digit spread in a divisional game. Yes, I’m a Jets fan, but if you take the Patriots here, you’re crazy. Did you forget about them losing to the birds (Cardinals and Seahawks)?

Browns over Colts: We know neither team is good but seeing what Shonne Green did against the Colts is making me side with them. Browns would be favored in this game if Trent Richardson was definite and healthy.

Cardinals (+6.5) Vikings: This dog pick could sting a bit similar to how the Vikings burned me against the Titans. Both teams coming off a loss I like the Cards covering in a good one.

Bears (-6.5) Lions: I see a crazy blowout no one expects. Cutler decides to show up, Marshall has a huge game on prime-time and Stafford might do well but I think he falls on his face trying to start up a comeback.

Over 47.5 on the Bears-Lions (Tigers…oh my!) game mainly cause its Monday night. Might double down on this if I’m up after Sunday.

I’m spread out all of these game but if you forced me to give you one pick I’d go with the Browns.

Good luck and may you cover.

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Update: Looks like I’m awful, not just awful but Lindsay Lohan at getting sober awful, at 1 pm EST games and over unders. I’ll keep this in mind for Week 7 but no promises. 

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Cardinals v Rams 10/4

Interesting thought on this game…I like Cardinals (-1.5) for the game but I’ve been doing poorly over the past few weeks so I decided to do some more research and try to make a successful prop bet. Got lucky, I stumbled on the 1st half line of Cardinals (-0.5), I thought ‘surely they could cover this’ but with the extra research I noted that beside the Philly game (I’ll deem a fluke because of so many 1st half turnovers) the Cardinals have scored 6, 10, and 0 points in the first halves of their games. The Rams on the other hand have scored at a good clip in the first halves of their games but have not been able to win as many as the Cardinals.

I’m gonna take Rams (+0.5, -115) for the first half and hope this research thing works this week.

Back with more picks Saturday morning!

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Got it right! Maybe the research thing will work out this week. Seems to be a tough week for Straight-up pools (and by that I mean most everyone is going with the same picks. This makes one wrong pick a killer). 

J-E-T-S! & other Week 4 p-i-c-k-s

If I wasn’t a Jets fan this pick would be much easier. I unfortunately suffer through their games like the rest of NY (Giants fans can relate, but they have two much more recent Superbowls) I heard the statistic last week and it makes logical sense. A west coast team has never won on the east coast in a 1 o’clock game. 1 pm EST = 10am PT. That’s not very friendly to the 49ers even though they are most likely a better team. I took Jets moneyline (+175*) and will parlay them (+4) with some other picks later this weekend.

I’m running a great 3-0 in games involving the Giants ATS so I’ll push my luck and see if the streak continues. Philly is 2-1 in close wins and a blowout loss to the unappreciated Cardinals. Andy Reid hates losing, as much as I hated the hook on last week Ravens game, and rarely falters after a loss. I’ll take the Eagles (-1.5) because they’re home.

Of my next three picks, I’ll decide how hard I take them later but I like ’em and I like ’em good:

Bills (+4.5) v Patriots – someone needs to punch Tom Brady in the face, I hope it’s Mario Williams, divisional games should not have this kind of spread in away games. Peeps need to stop betting the Patriots.

Cardinals (-6) v Dolphins – I would like this to come down a bit but the Cardinals have shown they’re legit this season and the Dolphins suffered in the Jets game last week when Reggie Bush (didn’t practice Wed.) went out.

Buccaneers (-2.5) v Redskins – Bucs are doing well ATS this year, meaning they’ve been underrated thus far, the Redskins have been hyped due to RG3 . Defense decides this game, I’ll think about the under (48).

Good luck!

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This does not look good. Jets and Bills got blown out. I got all of my other picks wrong so far. I’ll be saved if the Cardinals pull of a 13-0 halftime deficit, the Bucs can pull off a current 14-3 deficit, and the Eagles beat the Giants. SON OF A GUN! Bad week.