Tag Archives: week 3

Week 3 picks – Orange & Grape juices

21 Sep

Be it the devil to set the Week 3 matchups this week. There are more home team underdogs and many with close spreads. As I researched, picking only the home team ‘dogs is 53% ATS which may be noteworthy but nothing to frighten me away. If history has anything to say about it, New England hadn’t lost a home opener in 9 years until the (+14) Cardinals gave them their first loss.

This week will mainly be about pricing, I’m seeing different spreads on different books, with different juices. Shop around if you can. As I infamously heard as I was winning Giants v. Bucs, ‘You live and die by the hook”.

All the games I picked are -115 which angered me in general but the lines were the best I could hope for (unless they move the way I wanted before kickoff). This also encouraged me to put the three teams in a parlay instead of taking each of them separately.

49er v. Vikings (-6.5): Live and die by the hook, I like the hook on the other side of 7 this time and think this game may be closer than most would imagine. Either way, 49ers are gold (good pun) this year and I see them controlling the regular season until the playoffs (similar to last years’ Packers).

Jets v. Dolphins (-1): Loved getting this line and will wait for the juice to come down a bit before putting more on this game separately. Dolphins are awful at home, this is prolly because no one really wants to live in Miami). Sparano is now OC for the Jets and was previously the Dolphins head coach. Seriously?! This is allowed? Why aren’t more non-competition agreements signed in the NFL. This should be too easy for the Jets to pick apart a weak Dolphin team. I see a blowout but I also want my 5% for the game by itself.

Ravens v. Patriots (-1.5): Trickiest game of most of them out there. Why take it then? Ravens should win by a field goal. They have a revamped offense, Patriots D isn’t good anymore, and if nothing changes from week 2 Patriots will get dominated [Ravens lost by 1 to the Eagles].

The parlay pays 5.1 to one unit because of the fruit medley (bad juice pun).

Enjoy the games!

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Half time and my jets and 49ers picks don’t look good at all. Got a chance but they’ll need to come out firing in the 3rd.

Darn hook on the Ravens game!

Giants v. Panthers (Thursday, week 3)

20 Sep

Why am I picking all the Giants games? This shouldn’t be happening, maybe I know too much about the team. I’ve followed them from afar since my dad is a fan. Spread opened as a pick and has moved to G-men +1. Since it’s a Thursday game I took  it already (Giants ML +110).

The Panthers might be a decent team this year. Odds at the beginning of the season were that they’d be better than last year (6-10). Highly possible (if Newton doesn’t get hit by a bus).

I’m using simple logic on this one…Panthers lost to the Buccaneers, Giants beat the Bucs. If A > B, & B > C, then A > C. Football might not work like this and it is in Carolina (Giants are good on the road and 4-3-1 ATS away last season). I’ll rely on Eli for this one.

Prediction: Giants 28-17

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