Week 5 picks

Didn’t get to do enough research Friday and had to study during the day Saturday so these may be late but here they are.

Browns	Giants	8.5
Titans	Vikings	5.5
Patriots	Broncos	-6.5
Seahawks	Panthers	2.5 (-105)
Colts	Packers	7

Browns (+8.5) v Giants: I’m forcing myself to pick this game because I haven’t lost in a game involving the Giants this year, took Philly at -1.5 last week. I could see this game coming down to Giants trying to get up by two scores to put the game away. That wouldn’t be nice but I also noticed the O/U is 44. I can’t see the Giants winning by more than 10 with a total so low. Could happen, but I say Browns (+8.5).

Titans (+5.5) v Vikings: When was the last time someone said the Vikings were overrated, prolly when they had old man Fav-re. There’s something about Ma-tt Hasslebeck that makes me think the Titans could win this. I’ll think about the moneyline (+210) tomorrow morning. For those that found the joke in there, congrats.

Patriots (-6.5) v Broncos: Being a Jets fan, I hate hoping for the Patriots to do well, but the Jets v 49ers disaster last week told me to stop being stupid and play the numbers. The Patriots put up numbers whenever they want. Buffalo last week? 40+ and in the second half. It should be a battle of quarterbacks I’ll take Ugg-man.

Seahawks (+2.5) v Panthers: Well I’m already angry at this pick. I wanted the +3 (-130) line but something reset when I typed it in so I’m getting less than the game-deciding field goal. Overtime is a possibility in this game, I’ll look for a line on that and report back. I still think people are overvaluing Cam Newton from his ridiculousness last season. Also like the under 43 in this but OT wouldn’t help that cause.

Colts (+7) v Packers: The Cheeseheads aren’t off to such a good start. Typically the worst team in the previous season is good ATS the following season, the trend doesn’t seem to be following Luck & Co. (1-2 ATS) but it’s early.

Took these all for different amount individually with the Patriots for the most and Seahawks for the least but also parlayed the lot at 20-1. A man can dream, can’t he? Helps when the refs decide how your dreams end.

Good luck and feel free to the dollar below!

http://www.freesportsbet.com/freedollar

Update: I somehow scratched and clawed my way to a profit this week. Glad to get back on track, I’m staying away from the Texans(-9 or so)-Jets game tomorrow, looking forward to Thursday’s Steeler-Titans game. 

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Cardinals v Rams 10/4

Interesting thought on this game…I like Cardinals (-1.5) for the game but I’ve been doing poorly over the past few weeks so I decided to do some more research and try to make a successful prop bet. Got lucky, I stumbled on the 1st half line of Cardinals (-0.5), I thought ‘surely they could cover this’ but with the extra research I noted that beside the Philly game (I’ll deem a fluke because of so many 1st half turnovers) the Cardinals have scored 6, 10, and 0 points in the first halves of their games. The Rams on the other hand have scored at a good clip in the first halves of their games but have not been able to win as many as the Cardinals.

I’m gonna take Rams (+0.5, -115) for the first half and hope this research thing works this week.

Back with more picks Saturday morning!

http://www.freesportsbet.com/It’sAFreeDollar!

Got it right! Maybe the research thing will work out this week. Seems to be a tough week for Straight-up pools (and by that I mean most everyone is going with the same picks. This makes one wrong pick a killer).