Turkey Day

Da Bears didn’t do much of anything Monday night. That loss didn’t feel too good. I don’t like the spreads for the Turkey Day games for a few reasons.

Patriots -6.5 Jets: Sure I would take the Pats in this but the Jets showed up against the Rams and it is a division game.

Texans -3 Lions: This doesn’t make sense. Sure, the Lions are home and they typically play on Turkey Day but if I set this line it would be near the 6 or 7 range. Maybe the Texans going into OT v the Jaguars is dissuading bettors.

Redskins +3 Cowboys: The Cowboys are such a ‘Johnny come lately’ team. They show up one week then take a couple weeks off. I won taking the Browns and this is also a divisional game in Dallas (Cowboys don’t do well there*).

All in all I don’t like any of these spreads and will only take them if I get really bored and need something to gamble on after my hangover and before the Turkey on Thursday.

* Cowboys are 2-2 at home this season but 28-15-1 on Thanksgiving games

Good luck and may you cover!

Happy Thanksgiving!

Who let the underdogs out? Week 7

Running on a high from the Thursday night wins (Manningham didn’t play so that was cancelled) so I put in a few picks already but I like a ton of games this week.

Ravens	Texans	7
Jets	Patriots	10.5
Browns	Colts	ML
Cardinals	Vikings	6.5
Bears	Lions	-6.5
Over	Under	47.5

Ravens (+7) v Texans: Looks tough with a banged up Ravens D and no Ray Lewis but the Texans haven’t been blowing teams out recently and I like the Ray Rice to tear up the ground game for some reason. This game should be close for three quarters and then I expect someone to stumble and lose it early in the fourth. Turnovers will decide this game.

Jets (+10.5) Patriots: C’mon now? Seriously? This isn’t even nice, the Jets might be bad, and Belichek might want to run up the score on Rex Ryan, but the Patriots have close to no defense, if the Jets don’t score in the 1st quarter it might be over, but what is up with a double-digit spread in a divisional game. Yes, I’m a Jets fan, but if you take the Patriots here, you’re crazy. Did you forget about them losing to the birds (Cardinals and Seahawks)?

Browns over Colts: We know neither team is good but seeing what Shonne Green did against the Colts is making me side with them. Browns would be favored in this game if Trent Richardson was definite and healthy.

Cardinals (+6.5) Vikings: This dog pick could sting a bit similar to how the Vikings burned me against the Titans. Both teams coming off a loss I like the Cards covering in a good one.

Bears (-6.5) Lions: I see a crazy blowout no one expects. Cutler decides to show up, Marshall has a huge game on prime-time and Stafford might do well but I think he falls on his face trying to start up a comeback.

Over 47.5 on the Bears-Lions (Tigers…oh my!) game mainly cause its Monday night. Might double down on this if I’m up after Sunday.

I’m spread out all of these game but if you forced me to give you one pick I’d go with the Browns.

Good luck and may you cover.

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Update: Looks like I’m awful, not just awful but Lindsay Lohan at getting sober awful, at 1 pm EST games and over unders. I’ll keep this in mind for Week 7 but no promises.